--- title: "Two Marbles 3% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Two Marbles 3% ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.22% over 1,260 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent rendered: 2026-11-11T17:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Two Marbles 3%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Two Marbles 3% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.22% · 1,260 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 52 openings · below min 7 days · 98.22% ±42.62 1,260 openings 30 days · 98.22% ±42.62 1,260 openings since tracking started · 98.22% ±42.62 1,260 openings -0.5% 106.0% 212.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=24h) | 52 | 88.55% ±123.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=7d) | 1,260 | 98.22% ±42.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent) | 1,260 | 98.22% ±42.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/two-marbles-3percent?window=all) | 1,260 | 98.22% ±42.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $497 764 gems 152.8x 2026-11-09 15:10 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $395 607 gems 121.5x 2026-11-09 15:11 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) [TitoDabel juice.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TitoDabel%20%20juice.gg) $3.25 5 gems $262 403 gems 80.60x 2026-11-09 15:33 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $262 403 gems 80.60x 2026-11-06 05:00 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) [TitoDabel juice.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TitoDabel%20%20juice.gg) $3.25 5 gems $231 355 gems 71.04x 2026-11-10 14:32 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $231 355 gems 71.04x 2026-11-09 08:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=two-marbles-3percent) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [LittleWinger](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LittleWinger) $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $497 (152.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.22 on average: an expected loss of $1.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt