--- title: "Ultimate Winner case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ultimate Winner ($17.10) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 45.10% over 38 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner rendered: 2026-11-12T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Ultimate Winner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Ultimate Winner A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=all) Price · $17.10 · 26.3 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 45.10% · 38 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 38 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min 27.5% 45.3% 63.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=7d) | 38 | 45.10% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner) | 38 | 45.10% ±17.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ultimate-winner?window=all) | 38 | 45.10% ±17.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ultimate-winner) [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $13.32 20.49 gems 0.78x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $0.94 1.44 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $52.79 81.22 gems 3.09x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) [Pielenhofer](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pielenhofer) $17.10 26.3 gems $7.17 11.03 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $0.94 1.44 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $0.92 1.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $13.38 20.59 gems 0.78x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [Pielenhofer](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pielenhofer) $17.10 26.3 gems $0.92 1.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-firestarter-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $7.21 11.09 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 21:56 UTC [M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $17.10 26.3 gems $7.17 11.03 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 21:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 45.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $45.10 on average: an expected loss of $54.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt