--- title: "unlucky-buff case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "unlucky-buff ($16.68) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 36.92% over 24 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [unlucky-buff](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · unlucky-buff A case on Clash.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=all) Price · $16.68 · 25.66 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 36.92% · 24 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 23.0% 37.0% 51.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=24h) | 6 | 29.34% ±3.43 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=7d) | 24 | 36.92% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff) | 24 | 36.92% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/unlucky-buff?window=all) | 24 | 36.92% ±13.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=unlucky-buff) [CS:GO Weapon Case 2 other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-2) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $5.64 8.67 gems 0.34x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [eSports 2013 Winter Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2013-winter-case) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $4.80 7.38 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [CS:GO Weapon Case 2 other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-2) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $5.64 8.67 gems 0.34x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [Glove Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glove-case) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $3.70 5.69 gems 0.22x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [eSports 2013 Winter Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2013-winter-case) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $4.80 7.38 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [eSports 2013 Winter Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2013-winter-case) [TasiaB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TasiaB) $16.68 25.66 gems $4.80 7.38 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 03:53 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-cologne-2016) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $32.36 49.78 gems 1.94x 2026-11-09 04:42 UTC [CS:GO Weapon Case 2 other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-2) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $5.64 8.67 gems 0.34x 2026-11-09 04:42 UTC [eSports 2014 Summer Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2014-summer-case) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $4.43 6.82 gems 0.27x 2026-11-09 04:42 UTC [eSports 2014 Summer Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2014-summer-case) Hidden $16.68 25.66 gems $4.43 6.82 gems 0.27x 2026-11-09 04:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 36.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $36.92 on average: an expected loss of $63.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt