--- title: "Valhalla case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Valhalla ($195.34) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 82.89% over 81 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla rendered: 2026-11-11T23:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Valhalla](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Valhalla A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=all) Price · $195.34 · 301 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $175.81 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.89% · 81 openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 40.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 81 openings · below min 30 days · 81 openings · below min since tracking started · 81 openings · below min 66.0% 82.8% 99.5% **Small sample.** 81 openings and 24.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=7d) | 81 | 82.89% ±16.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla) | 81 | 82.89% ±16.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/valhalla?window=all) | 81 | 82.89% ±16.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 81 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $337 519 gems | 19.2% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.49× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $319 490 gems | 36.2% | 18 | 16.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 30.0% | $260 400 gems | 44.4% | 24 | 24.3 | 0.99× | | [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.44 2.21 gems | 0.1% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.96 1.48 gems | 0.1% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× | | [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.0% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× | | [P90 \| Ancient Earth (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.0% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=valhalla) [★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $195 301 gems $319 490 gems 1.63x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $195 301 gems $319 490 gems 1.63x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-factory-new) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $195 301 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $260 400 gems 1.33x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $260 400 gems 1.33x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $195 301 gems $0.96 1.48 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) Hidden $195 301 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $195 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 40.0% gold 20.0% restricted 10.0% #87c7ff 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Consumer Grade 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt