--- title: "Vampire case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vampire ($32.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 90.23% over 850 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Vampire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Vampire A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=all) Price · $32.25 · 49.61 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $29.02 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.23% · 850 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.23% ±10.67 335 openings 7 days · 89.99% ±7.10 756 openings 30 days · 90.23% ±6.70 850 openings since tracking started · 90.23% ±6.70 850 openings 72.0% 84.7% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=24h) | 335 | 83.23% ±10.7 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=7d) | 756 | 89.99% ±7.10 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire) | 850 | 90.23% ±6.70 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vampire?window=all) | 850 | 90.23% ±6.70 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 868 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn-2) | 10.0% | $101 155 gems | 34.8% | 99 | 86.8 | 1.14× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 10.0% | $64.82 99.72 gems | 22.3% | 79 | 86.8 | 0.91× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-factory-new) | 15.0% | $47.87 73.64 gems | 24.7% | 113 | 130.2 | 0.87× | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-factory-new) | 15.0% | $23.65 36.39 gems | 12.2% | 138 | 130.2 | 1.06× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.61 8.63 gems | 2.9% | 131 | 130.2 | 1.01× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.40 6.77 gems | 2.3% | 125 | 130.2 | 0.96× | | [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.05 1.62 gems | 0.7% | 183 | 173.6 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=vampire) [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $5.61 8.63 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $47.87 73.64 gems 1.48x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) [nitty](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/nitty) $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:27 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $5.61 8.63 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:53 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $4.40 6.77 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 05:53 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 05:53 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) Hidden $32.25 49.61 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 05:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.25 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 25.0% covert 10.0% legendary 15.0% industrial 15.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt