---
title: "Vandals case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Vandals ($0.90) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.56% from 14 items with odds, observed 90.40% over 14.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Vandals](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Vandals

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=all)

Price · $0.90 · 1.38 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.56% · EV $0.80 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.40% · 14.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.99% ±5.14 1,710 openings

7 days · 90.35% ±2.06 10.7K openings

30 days · 90.40% ±1.78 14.3K openings

since tracking started · 90.40% ±1.78 14.3K openings

86.0% 92.0% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=24h) | 1,710 | 91.99% ±5.14 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=7d) | 10.7K | 90.35% ±2.06 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals) | 14.3K | 90.40% ±1.78 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vandals?window=all) | 14.3K | 90.40% ±1.78 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Recoil AK-47 graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-ak-47) | 1 in 100 | $6.20 9.54 gems | 7.7% | 141 | 145.6 | 0.97× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| G2 Esports \| London 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-g2-esports-london-2018) | 1 in 50 | $2.81 4.33 gems | 7.0% | 317 | 291.2 | 1.09× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Howling Dawn graffiti · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-howling-dawn) | 1 in 33 | $2.57 3.95 gems | 9.6% | 446 | 436.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| EZ graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ez) | 1 in 20 | $2.21 3.4 gems | 13.8% | 726 | 728.1 | 1.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Drug War Veteran graffiti · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-drug-war-veteran) | 1 in 20 | $1.76 2.71 gems | 11.0% | 755 | 728.1 | 1.04× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Tamara graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tamara) | 1 in 20 | $1.59 2.44 gems | 9.9% | 716 | 728.1 | 0.98× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Cheongsam graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-cheongsam) | 1 in 20 | $1.33 2.04 gems | 8.3% | 762 | 728.1 | 1.05× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) | 1 in 20 | $1.33 2.04 gems | 8.3% | 713 | 728.1 | 0.98× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Clutch King graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-clutch-king) | 1 in 13 | $1.03 1.58 gems | 9.6% | 1,057 | 1092.1 | 0.97× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Rage graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rage) | 10.0% | $0.68 1.05 gems | 8.5% | 1,513 | 1456.1 | 1.04× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Pixiu graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pixiu) | 10.0% | $0.49 0.75 gems | 6.1% | 1,445 | 1456.1 | 0.99× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Keep the Change graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change) | 12.5% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.2% | 1,779 | 1820.1 | 0.98× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Worry graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-worry) | 14.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,040 | 2038.5 | 1.00× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Mr. Teeth graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth) | 15.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,151 | 2184.2 | 0.98× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=vandals)

[Sealed Graffiti | Rage graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rage) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.68 1.05 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Pixiu graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pixiu) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.49 0.75 gems 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Pixiu graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pixiu) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.49 0.75 gems 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Worry graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-worry) [Sir Wilbur Dickins IV](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sir%20Wilbur%20Dickins%20IV) $0.90 1.38 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Change graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-keep-the-change) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Worry graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-worry) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Rage graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rage) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.68 1.05 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Drug War Veteran graffiti · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $1.76 2.71 gems 1.96x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Rage graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-rage) Hidden $0.90 1.38 gems $0.68 1.05 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth) [bas1c^](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/bas1c%5E) $0.90 1.38 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.90 | 89.56% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 52.5% high 2.0% Exotic 3.0% Mythical 20.0% exotic 5.0% remarkable 10.0% Legendary 7.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.56 on average: an expected loss of $10.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
