--- title: "Velocity Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Velocity Case ($33.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 86.17% over 557 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Velocity Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Velocity Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=all) Price · $33.14 · 50.98 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $29.82 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.17% · 557 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84 openings · below min 7 days · 86.01% ±9.07 466 openings 30 days · 86.17% ±8.29 557 openings since tracking started · 86.17% ±8.29 557 openings 58.0% 80.0% 102.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=24h) | 84 | 80.00% ±21.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=7d) | 466 | 86.01% ±9.07 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case) | 557 | 86.17% ±8.29 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/velocity-case?window=all) | 557 | 86.17% ±8.29 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 557 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $150 230 gems | 15.1% | 9 | 16.7 | 0.54× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $111 171 gems | 11.2% | 23 | 16.7 | 1.38× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $94.61 146 gems | 9.5% | 13 | 16.7 | 0.78× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $63.81 98.17 gems | 8.6% | 23 | 22.3 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $42.69 65.67 gems | 7.2% | 28 | 27.9 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 12.0% | $40.20 61.85 gems | 16.2% | 68 | 66.8 | 1.02× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $27.76 42.7 gems | 18.6% | 116 | 111.4 | 1.04× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 20.0% | $18.40 28.31 gems | 12.3% | 104 | 111.4 | 0.93× | | [P250 \| Forest Night (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.35 2.08 gems | 1.4% | 173 | 167.1 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=velocity-case) [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $18.40 28.31 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $18.40 28.31 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [P250 | Forest Night (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-factory-new) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $1.35 2.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $40.20 61.85 gems 1.21x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $40.20 61.85 gems 1.21x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $18.40 28.31 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $63.81 98.17 gems 1.93x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $27.76 42.7 gems 0.84x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [P250 | Forest Night (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-factory-new) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $1.35 2.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $33.14 50.98 gems $18.40 28.31 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $33.14 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 30.0% restricted 8.0% classified 32.0% Consumer Grade 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt