--- title: "Vengence case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vengence ($114.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 75.71% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence rendered: 2026-11-12T06:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Vengence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Vengence A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=all) Price · $114.61 · 176 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $103.15 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.71% · 32 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 45.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min 20.5% 97.8% 175.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings and 14.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=24h) | 6 | 97.72% ±76.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=7d) | 28 | 71.96% ±35.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence) | 32 | 75.71% ±33.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vengence?window=all) | 32 | 75.71% ±33.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 20.0% | $255 392 gems | 49.4% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 25.0% | $197 303 gems | 47.7% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-factory-new) | 25.0% | $7.68 11.82 gems | 1.9% | 13 | 8.0 | 1.63× | | [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-factory-new) | 30.0% | $3.30 5.07 gems | 1.0% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=vengence) [★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $197 303 gems 1.72x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $7.68 11.82 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $7.68 11.82 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $255 392 gems 2.23x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $197 303 gems 1.72x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-factory-new) [rami](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rami) $115 176 gems $7.68 11.82 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $197 303 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $255 392 gems 2.23x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $197 303 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC [P250 | Dark Filigree (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $3.30 5.07 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $115 | 90.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 20.0% covert knife 25.0% industrial 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt