---
title: "Veteran case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Veteran ($95.78) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 122.24% over 110 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Veteran](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Veteran

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=all)

Price · $95.78 · 147 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $86.19 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 122.24% · 110 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 34 openings · below min

7 days · 86 openings · below min

30 days · 122.24% ±30.62 110 openings

since tracking started · 122.24% ±30.62 110 openings

24.5% 91.0% 157.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.62% – 152.86%, 110 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=24h) | 34 | 80.12% ±55.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=7d) | 86 | 121.97% ±34.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran) | 110 | 122.24% ±30.6 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/veteran?window=all) | 110 | 122.24% ±30.6 | +2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 110 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $806 1,240 gems | 18.7% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.73× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $585 900 gems | 20.4% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $322 495 gems | 18.7% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.45× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 10.0% | $156 240 gems | 18.1% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 10.0% | $81.25 125 gems | 9.4% | 8 | 11.0 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 10.0% | $61.30 94.31 gems | 7.1% | 15 | 11.0 | 1.36× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $34.33 52.82 gems | 4.0% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $13.81 21.24 gems | 2.4% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.69 8.76 gems | 1.0% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.02 1.57 gems | 0.2% | 20 | 22.0 | 0.91× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-07 23:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-07 17:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-07 17:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-05 09:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-04 15:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $806 1,240 gems 8.42x 2026-11-03 20:59 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $585 900 gems 6.11x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $585 900 gems 6.11x 2026-11-03 21:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=veteran)

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $322 495 gems 3.36x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $156 240 gems 1.63x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $34.33 52.82 gems 0.36x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $61.30 94.31 gems 0.64x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $13.81 21.24 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $95.78 147 gems $5.69 8.76 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $81.25 125 gems 0.85x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $156 240 gems 1.63x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $95.78 147 gems $156 240 gems 1.63x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $95.78 147 gems $5.69 8.76 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $95.78 | 89.99% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.0% covert knife 3.0% classified 10.0% Restricted 10.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 15.0% Mythical 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% best hit $806 (8.42x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt