--- title: "Viking Raid case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Viking Raid ($23.95) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 94.57% over 636 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Viking Raid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Viking Raid A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=all) Price · $23.95 · 36.85 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.55 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.57% · 636 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.69% ±38.55 103 openings 7 days · 91.51% ±17.86 480 openings 30 days · 94.57% ±15.52 636 openings since tracking started · 94.57% ±15.52 636 openings 58.5% 97.8% 137.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=24h) | 103 | 97.69% ±38.6 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=7d) | 480 | 91.51% ±17.9 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid) | 636 | 94.57% ±15.5 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/viking-raid?window=all) | 636 | 94.57% ±15.5 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 744 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $299 460 gems | 27.7% | 25 | 14.9 | 1.68× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $91.21 140 gems | 33.9% | 50 | 59.5 | 0.84× | | [MP9 \| Dark Age (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dark-age-factory-new) | 10.0% | $52.27 80.41 gems | 24.2% | 66 | 74.4 | 0.89× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.18 21.81 gems | 3.3% | 39 | 37.2 | 1.05× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.70 13.38 gems | 6.1% | 109 | 111.6 | 0.98× | | [Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.02 7.73 gems | 3.5% | 114 | 111.6 | 1.02× | | [PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.18 1.81 gems | 0.8% | 116 | 111.6 | 1.04× | | [AUG \| Spalted Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.59 0.9 gems | 0.4% | 118 | 111.6 | 1.06× | | [P90 \| Ash Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ash-wood-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.1% | 107 | 111.6 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=viking-raid) [P90 | Ash Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ash-wood-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $8.70 13.38 gems 0.36x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $5.02 7.73 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [AUG | Spalted Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $8.70 13.38 gems 0.36x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [P90 | Ash Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ash-wood-factory-new) [Sanjivan25](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanjivan25) $23.95 36.85 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [P90 | Ash Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ash-wood-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $91.21 140 gems 3.81x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $5.02 7.73 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) Hidden $23.95 36.85 gems $5.02 7.73 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $23.95 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% #4b69ff 10.0% classified 15.0% restricted 15.0% mil spec 15.0% Uncommon 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt