--- title: "VIRGCRAYON case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "VIRGCRAYON ($106.98) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 67.51% over 24 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [VIRGCRAYON](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · VIRGCRAYON A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=all) Price · $106.98 · 165 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 67.51% · 24 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 63.8% 128.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=24h) | 14 | 50.31% ±73.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=7d) | 24 | 67.51% ±59.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon) | 24 | 67.51% ±59.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/virgcrayon?window=all) | 24 | 67.51% ±59.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $570 877 gems 5.33x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $570 877 gems 5.33x 2026-11-06 16:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=virgcrayon) [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) Hidden $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) Hidden $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) Hidden $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) [he](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/he) $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:04 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) Hidden $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) Hidden $107 165 gems $5.91 9.09 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $107 165 gems $570 877 gems 5.33x 2026-11-11 22:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $570 (5.33x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.51 on average: an expected loss of $32.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt