--- title: "Vortex case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vortex ($42.43) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 85.64% over 97 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Vortex](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Vortex A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=all) Price · $42.43 · 65.28 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $38.19 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.64% · 97 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 54.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 97 openings · below min since tracking started · 97 openings · below min 43.5% 77.3% 111.0% **Small sample.** 97 openings and 29.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=7d) | 66 | 74.18% ±29.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex) | 97 | 85.64% ±24.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/vortex?window=all) | 97 | 85.64% ±24.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 97 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $627 964 gems | 8.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 15.0% | $96.91 149 gems | 38.1% | 14 | 14.5 | 0.96× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 15.0% | $56.90 87.54 gems | 22.4% | 16 | 14.5 | 1.10× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 15.0% | $44.67 68.72 gems | 17.5% | 17 | 14.5 | 1.17× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.30 38.92 gems | 3.3% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $10.96 16.86 gems | 1.4% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 14.5% | $8.46 13.02 gems | 3.2% | 16 | 14.1 | 1.14× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.38 12.89 gems | 3.3% | 11 | 14.5 | 0.76× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 15.0% | $6.57 10.1 gems | 2.6% | 14 | 14.5 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=vortex) [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.15x 2026-11-09 16:31 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.20x 2026-11-09 16:31 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $25.30 38.92 gems 0.60x 2026-11-09 16:31 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) [Mi-No-Taur](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mi-No-Taur) $42.43 65.28 gems $10.96 16.86 gems 0.26x 2026-11-09 16:31 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $56.90 87.54 gems 1.34x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.20x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.15x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Nate Higgerson](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nate%20Higgerson) $42.43 65.28 gems $8.38 12.89 gems 0.20x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $56.90 87.54 gems 1.34x 2026-11-08 21:42 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $42.43 65.28 gems $8.46 13.02 gems 0.20x 2026-11-08 21:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $42.43 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 65.0% pink 5.0% classified 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt