--- title: "Weeaboo's Dream case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Weeaboo's Dream ($15.64) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 81.88% over 3,625 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream rendered: 2026-11-11T17:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Weeaboo's Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Weeaboo's Dream A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=all) Price · $15.64 · 24.06 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.08 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.88% · 3,625 openings, odds method Variance · 11.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 83.63% ±36.02 353 openings 7 days · 76.64% ±13.60 2,477 openings 30 days · 81.88% ±11.24 3,625 openings since tracking started · 81.88% ±11.24 3,625 openings 47.0% 83.8% 120.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=24h) | 353 | 83.63% ±36.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=7d) | 2,477 | 76.64% ±13.6 | −1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream) | 3,625 | 81.88% ±11.2 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/weeaboos-dream?window=all) | 3,625 | 81.88% ±11.2 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,735 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $335 515 gems | 59.4% | 80 | 93.4 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $78.38 121 gems | 27.8% | 180 | 186.8 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.92 10.64 gems | 4.9% | 375 | 373.5 | 1.00× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.62 5.57 gems | 2.6% | 347 | 373.5 | 0.93× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 15.0% | $3.17 4.88 gems | 3.4% | 592 | 560.3 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 25.0% | $0.46 0.71 gems | 0.8% | 913 | 933.8 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) | 32.5% | $0.45 0.69 gems | 1.0% | 1,248 | 1213.9 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=weeaboos-dream) [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $3.17 4.88 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.46 0.71 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $3.17 4.88 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) [VYCK4](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VYCK4) $15.64 24.06 gems $3.17 4.88 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $3.17 4.88 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.46 0.71 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $15.64 24.06 gems $0.46 0.71 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.64 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.5% classified 10.0% Ancient 10.0% violet 15.0% #8847ff 25.0% Rare 32.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt