--- title: "Welcome to the Jungle case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Welcome to the Jungle ($11.22) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 10 items with odds, observed 92.93% over 701 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle rendered: 2026-11-12T10:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Welcome to the Jungle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Welcome to the Jungle A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=all) Price · $11.22 · 17.26 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $10.09 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.93% · 701 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.15% ±18.99 137 openings 7 days · 93.46% ±9.39 560 openings 30 days · 92.93% ±8.39 701 openings since tracking started · 92.93% ±8.39 701 openings 76.5% 96.2% 116.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=24h) | 137 | 96.15% ±19.0 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=7d) | 560 | 93.46% ±9.39 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle) | 701 | 92.93% ±8.39 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/welcome-to-the-jungle?window=all) | 701 | 92.93% ±8.39 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 707 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $70.28 108 gems | 7.0% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.71× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $41.21 63.4 gems | 8.2% | 18 | 14.1 | 1.27× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 17.0% | $29.22 44.95 gems | 49.2% | 127 | 120.2 | 1.06× | | [M249 \| Jungle DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $11.30 17.38 gems | 22.4% | 141 | 141.4 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $9.76 15.02 gems | 4.8% | 44 | 35.3 | 1.24× | | [Nova \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $9.29 14.29 gems | 4.6% | 24 | 35.3 | 0.68× | | [StatTrak™ M249 \| Aztec (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-aztec-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.22 3.42 gems | 2.2% | 82 | 70.7 | 1.16× | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.59 0.9 gems | 0.6% | 71 | 70.7 | 1.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.57 0.87 gems | 0.8% | 102 | 106.0 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.2% | 93 | 106.1 | 0.88× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=welcome-to-the-jungle) [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.05x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [M249 | Jungle DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $11.30 17.38 gems 1.01x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $29.22 44.95 gems 2.60x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [Sawed-Off | Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) [res](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/res) $11.22 17.26 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 08:45 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-aztec-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $2.22 3.42 gems 0.20x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $29.22 44.95 gems 2.60x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC [Sawed-Off | Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fubar-well-worn) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.05x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC [M249 | Jungle DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.22 17.26 gems $11.30 17.38 gems 1.01x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) [Rick Ross](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Rick%20Ross) $11.22 17.26 gems $29.22 44.95 gems 2.60x 2026-11-12 05:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.22 | 89.96% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 1.0% restricted 7.0% classified 17.0% consumer 20.0% Consumer Grade 5.0% Restricted 10.0% Rare 10.0% blue 15.0% milspec 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt