--- title: "What the Flip case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "What the Flip ($138.42) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 74.23% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip rendered: 2026-11-11T19:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [What the Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · What the Flip A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=all) Price · $138.42 · 213 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $124.58 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.23% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 39.5% 72.0% 104.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 9.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=7d) | 42 | 72.18% ±31.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip) | 48 | 74.23% ±29.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/what-the-flip?window=all) | 48 | 74.23% ±29.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $559 861 gems | 22.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 15.0% | $298 459 gems | 35.9% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 30.0% | $159 245 gems | 38.4% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× | | [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 100 | $86.37 133 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $50.11 77.1 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.51 30.01 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $8.82 13.57 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 20.0% | $4.74 7.29 gems | 0.8% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.35× | | [Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.79 2.75 gems | 0.3% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $559 861 gems 4.04x 2026-11-08 13:13 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $559 861 gems 4.04x 2026-11-03 09:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=what-the-flip) [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) Hidden $138 213 gems $1.79 2.75 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $50.11 77.1 gems 0.36x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $159 245 gems 1.15x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $159 245 gems 1.15x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $298 459 gems 2.15x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) [Isti0308](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Isti0308) $138 213 gems $1.79 2.75 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) Hidden $138 213 gems $1.79 2.75 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:53 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $138 213 gems $298 459 gems 2.15x 2026-11-10 10:53 UTC [Dual Berettas | Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) Hidden $138 213 gems $4.74 7.29 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:53 UTC [Dual Berettas | Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) Hidden $138 213 gems $4.74 7.29 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $138 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% covert knife 30.0% Exotic 1.0% mil spec 22.0% #d32ee6 3.0% classified 4.0% restricted 20.0% best hit $559 (4.04x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt