--- title: "Where Wear case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Where Wear ($73.84) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 100.62% over 380 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear rendered: 2026-11-11T19:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Where Wear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Where Wear A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=all) Price · $73.84 · 114 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $66.45 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.62% · 380 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 101.41% ±25.19 334 openings 30 days · 100.62% ±23.62 380 openings since tracking started · 100.62% ±23.62 380 openings 46.5% 121.8% 197.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=24h) | 38 | 121.68% ±74.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=7d) | 334 | 101.41% ±25.2 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear) | 380 | 100.62% ±23.6 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/where-wear?window=all) | 380 | 100.62% ±23.6 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 380 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,196 1,840 gems | 18.0% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $559 860 gems | 16.8% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $503 774 gems | 22.7% | 15 | 11.4 | 1.32× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $372 572 gems | 22.4% | 20 | 15.2 | 1.32× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $103 159 gems | 7.8% | 15 | 19.0 | 0.79× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $58.06 89.32 gems | 4.4% | 22 | 19.0 | 1.16× | | [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $43.98 67.66 gems | 3.3% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 25.0% | $11.64 17.9 gems | 4.4% | 101 | 95.0 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| 100 Thieves (Gold) \| 2020 RMR sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-gold-2020-rmr) | 25.0% | $0.70 1.07 gems | 0.3% | 83 | 95.0 | 0.87× | | [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.04 0.06 gems | 0.0% | 90 | 95.0 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $1,196 1,840 gems 16.20x 2026-11-08 22:19 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $1,196 1,840 gems 16.20x 2026-11-07 08:06 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $1,196 1,840 gems 16.20x 2026-11-06 18:54 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $1,196 1,840 gems 16.20x 2026-11-06 08:24 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [dookerdock](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/dookerdock) $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-08 22:25 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-08 22:19 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-07 18:38 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-06 23:03 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $559 860 gems 7.57x 2026-11-06 13:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=where-wear) [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $11.64 17.9 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [Sticker | 100 Thieves (Gold) | 2020 RMR sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-gold-2020-rmr) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $0.70 1.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $503 774 gems 6.81x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $11.64 17.9 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) [Crown](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Crown) $73.84 114 gems $11.64 17.9 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [Energetic Lion](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Lion) $73.84 114 gems $503 774 gems 6.81x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) Hidden $73.84 114 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $73.84 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% sunny 2.0% covert knife 4.0% classified 5.0% extraordinary 5.0% Restricted 5.0% restricted 25.0% other 25.0% light blue 25.0% best hit $1,196 (16.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt