--- title: "White Elephant case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "White Elephant ($23.77) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 12 items with odds, observed 87.72% over 3,035 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [White Elephant](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · White Elephant A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=all) Price · $23.77 · 36.57 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.39 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.72% · 3,035 openings, odds method Variance · 85.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 320 openings · below min 7 days · 90.75% ±36.11 2,509 openings 30 days · 87.72% ±32.84 3,035 openings since tracking started · 87.72% ±32.84 3,035 openings -0.5% 78.5% 157.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=24h) | 320 | 55.93% ±101.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=7d) | 2,509 | 90.75% ±36.1 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant) | 3,035 | 87.72% ±32.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/white-elephant?window=all) | 3,035 | 87.72% ±32.8 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,079 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $3,953 6,081 gems | 55.4% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× | | [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $559 860 gems | 7.8% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.41× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $326 502 gems | 6.1% | 14 | 12.3 | 1.14× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $120 185 gems | 5.6% | 34 | 30.8 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $66.85 103 gems | 6.3% | 57 | 61.6 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $55.03 84.66 gems | 7.7% | 95 | 92.4 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $31.52 48.49 gems | 4.4% | 94 | 92.4 | 1.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Detour (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.98 13.81 gems | 2.1% | 134 | 154.0 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $4.98 7.66 gems | 1.2% | 133 | 154.0 | 0.86× | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.45 3.77 gems | 1.1% | 314 | 307.9 | 1.02× | | [Galil AR \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.50 2.31 gems | 0.7% | 309 | 307.9 | 1.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 60.0% | $0.53 0.82 gems | 1.5% | 1,874 | 1847.4 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-10 09:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-07 05:30 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-05 01:48 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-04 14:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $3,953 6,081 gems 166.3x 2026-11-03 21:54 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $559 860 gems 23.52x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $559 860 gems 23.52x 2026-11-11 08:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=white-elephant) [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $4.98 7.66 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) [Lonsdale BOSWALL](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lonsdale%20BOSWALL) $23.77 36.57 gems $0.53 0.82 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $0.53 0.82 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $1.50 2.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $4.98 7.66 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $0.53 0.82 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $1.50 2.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) [Lonsdale BOSWALL](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lonsdale%20BOSWALL) $23.77 36.57 gems $55.03 84.66 gems 2.32x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $1.50 2.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.77 36.57 gems $1.50 2.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $23.77 | 89.98% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% covert 3.3% epic 0.4% classified 6.0% red 2.0% Ancient 3.0% mil spec 65.0% consumer 10.0% #4b69ff 10.0% best hit $3,953 (166.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt