--- title: "Winter Mittens case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Winter Mittens ($602.66) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 156.83% over 46 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens rendered: 2026-11-11T18:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Winter Mittens](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Winter Mittens A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=all) Price · $602.66 · 927 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $542.39 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 156.83% · 46 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 46 openings · below min since tracking started · 46 openings · below min 8.0% 130.0% 252.0% **Small sample.** 46 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=7d) | 36 | 115.69% ±107.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens) | 46 | 156.83% ±94.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-mittens?window=all) | 46 | 156.83% ±94.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $17.5K 26,981 gems | 32.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $7,686 11,824 gems | 14.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4,405 6,777 gems | 16.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,221 3,418 gems | 8.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $885 1,362 gems | 3.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $463 712 gems | 1.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 15.0% | $341 525 gems | 9.4% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) | 15.0% | $157 241 gems | 4.3% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.16× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 60.0% | $93.18 143 gems | 10.3% | 27 | 27.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $17.5K 26,981 gems 29.10x 2026-11-03 17:24 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $7,686 11,824 gems 12.75x 2026-11-10 00:07 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $7,686 11,824 gems 12.75x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $4,405 6,777 gems 7.31x 2026-11-10 00:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=winter-mittens) [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $157 241 gems 0.26x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $341 525 gems 0.57x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $603 927 gems $157 241 gems 0.26x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) Hidden $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $603 927 gems $157 241 gems 0.26x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $603 927 gems $93.18 143 gems 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $603 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 81.0% legendary 4.0% Extraordinary 15.0% best hit $17.5K (29.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt