---
title: "Winter Offensive Weapon Case on Clash.gg: odds & RTP"
description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Winter Offensive Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Winter Offensive Weapon Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=all)

Price · $4.45 · 6.84 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $4.00 from 78 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.63% · 5,267 openings, odds method

Variance · 84.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 61 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.51% ±55.30 1,066 openings

7 days · 105.86% ±26.92 4,499 openings

30 days · 99.63% ±24.88 5,267 openings

since tracking started · 99.63% ±24.88 5,267 openings

41.5% 97.5% 153.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=24h) | 1,066 | 97.51% ±55.3 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=7d) | 4,499 | 105.86% ±26.9 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case) | 5,267 | 99.63% ±24.9 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case?window=all) | 5,267 | 99.63% ±24.9 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 78 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,317 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,684 5,667 gems | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,119 4,799 gems | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,576 2,425 gems | 1.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,277 1,964 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,169 1,798 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $943 1,451 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $800 1,230 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $780 1,200 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 25,000 | $770 1,185 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet) | 1 in 25,000 | $760 1,169 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $747 1,150 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $735 1,131 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $702 1,080 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $614 945 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $611 940 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $568 874 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $567 873 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $541 832 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $487 749 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $483 742 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $458 704 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $456 702 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 681 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 680 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $413 636 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $394 606 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $388 597 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $358 550 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $354 545 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $351 540 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $300 461 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 25,000 | $284 436 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $270 415 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $228 350 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $223 343 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $212 325 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 325 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 324 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $210 323 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $209 321 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $201 309 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $194 299 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $182 281 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 239 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 238 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $143 220 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $139 214 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $135 208 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $133 205 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $109 167 gems | 0.1% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $85.51 132 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $81.90 126 gems | 6.6% | 20 | 17.0 | 1.18× |
| [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $80.67 124 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $78.01 120 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $75.74 117 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $74.56 115 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $73.63 113 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $66.05 102 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $63.30 97.38 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $62.86 96.7 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $43.98 67.66 gems | 11.7% | 57 | 56.7 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $15.15 23.3 gems | 4.0% | 69 | 56.7 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $10.39 15.99 gems | 2.8% | 67 | 56.7 | 1.18× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $8.12 12.49 gems | 8.1% | 221 | 212.4 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $4.03 6.2 gems | 4.0% | 214 | 212.4 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $3.56 5.47 gems | 3.6% | 207 | 212.4 | 0.97× |
| [Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $3.42 5.26 gems | 3.4% | 203 | 212.4 | 0.96× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $2.93 4.51 gems | 0.2% | 16 | 17.0 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.74 2.68 gems | 8.7% | 1,041 | 1062.3 | 0.98× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.06 1.63 gems | 5.3% | 1,051 | 1062.3 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.98 1.5 gems | 4.9% | 1,130 | 1062.3 | 1.06× |
| [M249 \| Magma (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.75 1.15 gems | 3.7% | 1,000 | 1062.4 | 0.94× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $1,576 2,425 gems 354.6x 2026-11-08 07:09 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [eSk;](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eSk%3B) $4.45 6.84 gems $1,049 1,614 gems 236.0x 2026-11-10 17:00 UTC

[★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $1,049 1,614 gems 236.0x 2026-11-07 07:12 UTC

[★ Karambit | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) [eSk;](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eSk%3B) $4.45 6.84 gems $780 1,200 gems 175.4x 2026-11-10 20:54 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $614 945 gems 138.1x 2026-11-10 21:48 UTC

[★ Karambit | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $442 681 gems 99.52x 2026-11-05 01:38 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $442 680 gems 99.42x 2026-11-05 06:08 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $413 636 gems 92.91x 2026-11-10 09:28 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $354 545 gems 79.68x 2026-11-08 00:28 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $255 393 gems 57.44x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=winter-offensive-weapon-case)

[★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $135 208 gems 30.37x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $43.98 67.66 gems 9.89x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[M249 | Magma (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $1.06 1.63 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $3.42 5.26 gems 0.77x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) [eSk;](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eSk%3B) $4.45 6.84 gems $3.56 5.47 gems 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[M249 | Magma (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) Hidden $4.45 6.84 gems $4.03 6.2 gems 0.91x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $4.45 | 89.99% | 78 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.0% knifes 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 16.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% mil spec 59.9% best hit $1,576 (354.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt