--- title: "Wisdom case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wisdom ($56.97) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 80.68% over 165 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom rendered: 2026-11-11T14:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Wisdom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Wisdom A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=all) Price · $56.97 · 87.65 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $51.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.68% · 165 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 89.57% ±34.95 146 openings 30 days · 80.68% ±32.88 165 openings since tracking started · 80.68% ±32.88 165 openings -0.5% 157.8% 316.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=24h) | 6 | 143.05% ±172.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=7d) | 146 | 89.57% ±35.0 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom) | 165 | 80.68% ±32.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom?window=all) | 165 | 80.68% ±32.9 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 165 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $557 857 gems | 32.6% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $453 697 gems | 26.5% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $232 357 gems | 13.6% | 9 | 5.0 | 1.82× | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $91.30 140 gems | 5.3% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× | | [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $66.28 102 gems | 3.9% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× | | [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $47.89 73.68 gems | 2.8% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [XM1014 \| Red Leather (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Heavy](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $31.19 47.99 gems | 7.3% | 26 | 19.8 | 1.31× | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $18.80 28.93 gems | 5.1% | 19 | 23.1 | 0.82× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.55 8.54 gems | 2.7% | 32 | 41.3 | 0.78× | | [MAC-10 \| Rangeen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-factory-new) | 31.0% | $0.28 0.43 gems | 0.2% | 58 | 51.1 | 1.13× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $557 857 gems 9.77x 2026-11-06 13:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $557 857 gems 9.77x 2026-11-06 13:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $557 857 gems 9.77x 2026-11-06 13:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $557 857 gems 9.77x 2026-11-05 17:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=wisdom) [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $5.55 8.54 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $18.80 28.93 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $0.28 0.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $5.55 8.54 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $5.55 8.54 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $56.97 87.65 gems $453 697 gems 7.96x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $0.28 0.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $5.55 8.54 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.97 87.65 gems $18.80 28.93 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $56.97 87.65 gems $5.55 8.54 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $56.97 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 34.0% covert 3.0% restricted 6.0% Heavy 12.0% mil spec 45.0% best hit $557 (9.77x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt