--- title: "World Stage case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "World Stage ($116.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 110.67% over 259 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage rendered: 2026-11-12T01:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [World Stage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · World Stage A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=all) Price · $116.38 · 179 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $104.74 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.67% · 259 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 107.21% ±21.70 235 openings 30 days · 110.67% ±20.67 259 openings since tracking started · 110.67% ±20.67 259 openings -0.5% 97.0% 194.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=24h) | 6 | 58.11% ±135.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=7d) | 235 | 107.21% ±21.7 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage) | 259 | 110.67% ±20.7 | +2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/world-stage?window=all) | 259 | 110.67% ±20.7 | +2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 259 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $749 1,153 gems | 35.8% | 17 | 13.0 | 1.31× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $496 763 gems | 23.7% | 16 | 13.0 | 1.24× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $361 555 gems | 17.2% | 18 | 13.0 | 1.39× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $196 302 gems | 9.4% | 11 | 13.0 | 0.85× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $139 214 gems | 6.6% | 17 | 13.0 | 1.31× | | [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) | 10.0% | $41.94 64.53 gems | 4.0% | 19 | 25.9 | 0.73× | | [SG 553 \| Traveler (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-factory-new) | 15.0% | $11.58 17.82 gems | 1.7% | 34 | 38.9 | 0.88× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 15.0% | $7.28 11.2 gems | 1.0% | 46 | 38.9 | 1.18× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.23 4.97 gems | 0.5% | 31 | 38.9 | 0.80× | | [Zeus x27 \| Earth Mandala (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-earth-mandala-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.79 1.21 gems | 0.2% | 50 | 51.8 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 20:33 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 20:31 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 20:12 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 20:12 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) [☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A0) $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 19:49 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 19:49 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $749 1,153 gems 6.44x 2026-11-10 19:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=world-stage) [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) Hidden $116 179 gems $7.28 11.2 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $116 179 gems $361 555 gems 3.10x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $11.58 17.82 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $11.58 17.82 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) Hidden $116 179 gems $7.28 11.2 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) [rami](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rami) $116 179 gems $7.28 11.2 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $41.94 64.53 gems 0.36x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $139 214 gems 1.20x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC [Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-earth-mandala-factory-new) Hidden $116 179 gems $0.79 1.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) [☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A0) $116 179 gems $7.28 11.2 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $116 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 5.0% legendary 5.0% covert 10.0% Legendary 20.0% industrial 10.0% Industrial Grade 15.0% Mythical 15.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit $749 (6.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt