--- title: "Wreck-9 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wreck-9 ($27.52) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 84.60% over 447 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Wreck-9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Wreck-9 A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=all) Price · $27.52 · 42.34 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $24.77 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.60% · 447 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90 openings · below min 7 days · 83.28% ±23.35 411 openings 30 days · 84.60% ±22.39 447 openings since tracking started · 84.60% ±22.39 447 openings -0.5% 53.5% 107.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=24h) | 90 | 40.06% ±49.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=7d) | 411 | 83.28% ±23.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9) | 447 | 84.60% ±22.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wreck-9?window=all) | 447 | 84.60% ±22.4 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 447 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $304 468 gems | 61.4% | 22 | 22.4 | 0.98× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $77.60 119 gems | 15.7% | 16 | 22.4 | 0.72× | | [Tec-9 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $30.21 46.48 gems | 6.1% | 16 | 22.4 | 0.72× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.77 39.64 gems | 5.2% | 24 | 22.4 | 1.07× | | [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.94 19.91 gems | 5.2% | 52 | 44.7 | 1.16× | | [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.38 8.27 gems | 2.2% | 39 | 44.7 | 0.87× | | [Tec-9 \| Orange Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-orange-murano-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.58 7.04 gems | 1.8% | 48 | 44.7 | 1.07× | | [Tec-9 \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.90 4.46 gems | 1.2% | 46 | 44.7 | 1.03× | | [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.43 2.2 gems | 0.6% | 47 | 44.7 | 1.05× | | [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.88 1.36 gems | 0.4% | 41 | 44.7 | 0.92× | | [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.53 0.81 gems | 0.2% | 51 | 44.7 | 1.14× | | [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 0.0% | 45 | 44.7 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=wreck-9) [Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-orange-murano-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $4.58 7.04 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $0.53 0.81 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $0.53 0.81 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $12.94 19.91 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-orange-murano-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $4.58 7.04 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) [merked](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/merked) $27.52 42.34 gems $5.38 8.27 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 05:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $12.94 19.91 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC [Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-orange-murano-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $4.58 7.04 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC [Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $12.94 19.91 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC [Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.52 42.34 gems $0.88 1.36 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $27.52 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 15.0% mil spec 35.0% consumer 15.0% classified 5.0% Industrial Grade 20.0% Mil Spec 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt