--- title: "Wyrm's Vault case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wyrm's Vault ($30.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 109.70% over 1,444 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Wyrm's Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Wyrm's Vault A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=all) Price · $30.14 · 46.37 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.12 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.70% · 1,444 openings, odds method Variance · 54.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 132.98% ±75.14 369 openings 7 days · 117.34% ±41.48 1,211 openings 30 days · 109.70% ±37.99 1,444 openings since tracking started · 109.70% ±37.99 1,444 openings 57.0% 133.0% 209.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=24h) | 369 | 132.98% ±75.1 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=7d) | 1,211 | 117.34% ±41.5 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault) | 1,444 | 109.70% ±38.0 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wyrm-s-vault?window=all) | 1,444 | 109.70% ±38.0 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,502 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,637 10,210 gems | 24.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,082 1,665 gems | 8.0% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $607 934 gems | 6.7% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $488 750 gems | 7.2% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $399 614 gems | 7.4% | 5 | 7.5 | 0.67× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $183 281 gems | 10.1% | 23 | 22.5 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $59.84 92.06 gems | 11.0% | 89 | 75.1 | 1.19× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $34.35 52.84 gems | 6.3% | 64 | 75.1 | 0.85× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $12.54 19.29 gems | 3.2% | 119 | 105.1 | 1.13× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 80.0% | $5.28 8.13 gems | 15.6% | 1,188 | 1201.6 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $30.14 46.37 gems $6,637 10,210 gems 220.2x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [XleSwaet](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/XleSwaet) $30.14 46.37 gems $6,637 10,210 gems 220.2x 2026-11-10 21:17 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $6,637 10,210 gems 220.2x 2026-11-08 16:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $1,082 1,665 gems 35.91x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $1,082 1,665 gems 35.91x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $1,082 1,665 gems 35.91x 2026-11-06 00:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [Kinder Egg Day Today](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kinder%20Egg%20Day%20Today) $30.14 46.37 gems $607 934 gems 20.14x 2026-11-08 01:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $607 934 gems 20.14x 2026-11-05 20:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=wyrm-s-vault) [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $59.84 92.06 gems 1.99x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $59.84 92.06 gems 1.99x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $5.28 8.13 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $5.28 8.13 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $5.28 8.13 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $30.14 46.37 gems $183 281 gems 6.06x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $59.84 92.06 gems 1.99x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $34.35 52.84 gems 1.14x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $5.28 8.13 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) Hidden $30.14 46.37 gems $5.28 8.13 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $30.14 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.6% legendary 0.4% restricted 5.0% classified 12.0% #d32ce6 80.0% best hit $6,637 (220.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt