---
title: "Young Hustler case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Young Hustler ($26.71) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 94.29% over 507 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Young Hustler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Young Hustler

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=all)

Price · $26.71 · 41.09 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.04 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.29% · 507 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 94.35% ±13.94 385 openings

30 days · 94.29% ±12.15 507 openings

since tracking started · 94.29% ±12.15 507 openings

28.0% 125.3% 222.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=24h) | 8 | 125.29% ±96.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=7d) | 385 | 94.35% ±13.9 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler) | 507 | 94.29% ±12.1 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/young-hustler?window=all) | 507 | 94.29% ±12.1 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 511 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $141 216 gems | 29.3% | 29 | 25.6 | 1.14× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $103 159 gems | 21.5% | 37 | 25.6 | 1.45× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $73.66 113 gems | 15.3% | 16 | 25.6 | 0.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $43.36 66.7 gems | 9.0% | 26 | 25.6 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $23.24 35.76 gems | 9.7% | 43 | 51.1 | 0.84× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $10.78 16.59 gems | 4.5% | 66 | 51.1 | 1.29× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $6.39 9.83 gems | 5.3% | 89 | 102.2 | 0.87× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $4.26 6.56 gems | 3.5% | 102 | 102.2 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 20.0% | $2.26 3.47 gems | 1.9% | 103 | 102.2 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=young-hustler)

[UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $4.26 6.56 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $73.66 113 gems 2.76x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $141 216 gems 5.27x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC

[P90 | Attack Vector (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-minimal-wear) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $26.71 41.09 gems $10.78 16.59 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC

[AWP | Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $23.24 35.76 gems 0.87x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $6.39 9.83 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $6.39 9.83 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $26.71 41.09 gems $2.26 3.47 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $4.26 6.56 gems 0.16x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.71 41.09 gems $43.36 66.7 gems 1.62x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $26.71 | 90.00% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 5.0% covert 10.0% Covert 5.0% #d32ce6 10.0% uncommon 10.0% classified 20.0% pink 40.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
