--- title: "ZarlezaR Habibi case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ZarlezaR Habibi ($12.23) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 7 items with odds, observed 92.95% over 6,468 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [ZarlezaR Habibi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · ZarlezaR Habibi A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=all) Price · $12.23 · 18.81 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $11.00 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.95% · 6,468 openings, odds method Variance · 19.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.84% ±29.66 832 openings 7 days · 92.73% ±11.51 5,519 openings 30 days · 92.95% ±10.64 6,468 openings since tracking started · 92.95% ±10.64 6,468 openings 66.5% 96.8% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=24h) | 832 | 96.84% ±29.7 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=7d) | 5,519 | 92.73% ±11.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2) | 6,468 | 92.95% ±10.6 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zarlezar-2?window=all) | 6,468 | 92.95% ±10.6 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,580 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 100 | $444 684 gems | 40.4% | 71 | 65.8 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $273 419 gems | 24.8% | 74 | 65.8 | 1.12× | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $81.33 125 gems | 14.8% | 112 | 131.6 | 0.85× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $61.60 94.77 gems | 16.8% | 187 | 197.4 | 0.95× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $11.61 17.86 gems | 3.2% | 178 | 197.4 | 0.90× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 3,051 | 2961.0 | 1.03× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 45.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 2,907 | 2961.0 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=zarlezar-2) [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Booty Shaker](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Booty%20Shaker) $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.23 18.81 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $12.23 | 89.96% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 1.0% covert 4.0% #d32ee6 2.0% mil spec 3.0% consumer 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt