--- title: "Zero Gravity case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Zero Gravity ($24.76) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 91.08% over 2,878 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity rendered: 2026-11-11T13:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Zero Gravity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Zero Gravity A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=all) Price · $24.76 · 38.09 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $22.28 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.08% · 2,878 openings, odds method Variance · 19.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 285 openings · below min 7 days · 94.73% ±17.97 2,360 openings 30 days · 91.08% ±16.27 2,878 openings since tracking started · 91.08% ±16.27 2,878 openings 70.5% 122.8% 175.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=24h) | 285 | 122.69% ±51.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=7d) | 2,360 | 94.73% ±18.0 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity) | 2,878 | 91.08% ±16.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity?window=all) | 2,878 | 91.08% ±16.3 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,900 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,164 1,791 gems | 26.1% | 7 | 14.5 | 0.48× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $694 1,067 gems | 31.1% | 40 | 29.0 | 1.38× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $215 331 gems | 14.5% | 48 | 43.5 | 1.10× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $122 188 gems | 11.0% | 62 | 58.0 | 1.07× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $36.39 55.99 gems | 8.2% | 145 | 145.0 | 1.00× | | [P2000 \| Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.24 14.22 gems | 4.1% | 290 | 290.0 | 1.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.35 8.23 gems | 2.4% | 301 | 290.0 | 1.04× | | [P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.55 2.38 gems | 1.4% | 598 | 580.0 | 1.03× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.72 1.1 gems | 0.6% | 574 | 580.0 | 0.99× | | [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.40 0.61 gems | 0.5% | 835 | 870.0 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-11 02:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [NI𝕏A ˙ᵕ˙](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/NI%F0%9D%95%8FA%20%CB%99%E1%B5%95%CB%99) $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-09 16:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-08 16:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-05 12:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [BAAAAEEEEEEEZZZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BAAAAEEEEEEEZZZ) $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-05 10:29 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1,164 1,791 gems 47.02x 2026-11-04 15:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $694 1,067 gems 28.01x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $694 1,067 gems 28.01x 2026-11-11 10:35 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $694 1,067 gems 28.01x 2026-11-11 09:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=zero-gravity) [P250 | Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1.55 2.38 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $9.24 14.22 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $0.72 1.1 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $5.35 8.23 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $0.40 0.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $24.76 38.09 gems $0.40 0.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $36.39 55.99 gems 1.47x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $0.40 0.61 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [P250 | Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $1.55 2.38 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) Hidden $24.76 38.09 gems $5.35 8.23 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.76 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.5% Covert 1.0% covert knife 1.5% classified 7.0% restricted 10.0% blue 10.0% Mythical 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit $1,164 (47.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt