--- title: "Freezing Cold case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Freezing Cold ($129.03) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 109.34% over 121 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106 rendered: 2026-11-12T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Freezing Cold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Freezing Cold A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=all) Price · $129.03 · 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 109.34% · 121 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 69 openings · below min 30 days · 121 openings · below min since tracking started · 121 openings · below min 27.5% 119.8% 212.0% **Small sample.** 121 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=7d) | 69 | 119.65% ±91.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106) | 121 | 109.34% ±67.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/106?window=all) | 121 | 109.34% ±67.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $3,361 5,210 CSBATTLE\_COIN 26.05x 2026-11-11 10:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $3,361 5,210 CSBATTLE\_COIN 26.05x 2026-11-05 09:27 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,776 2,753 CSBATTLE\_COIN 13.76x 2026-11-07 10:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,284 1,991 CSBATTLE\_COIN 9.95x 2026-11-07 10:00 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $916 1,419 CSBATTLE\_COIN 7.10x 2026-11-07 10:01 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $916 1,419 CSBATTLE\_COIN 7.10x 2026-11-07 09:59 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $916 1,419 CSBATTLE\_COIN 7.10x 2026-11-07 09:56 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [MUNKHOLM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/MUNKHOLM) $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $916 1,419 CSBATTLE\_COIN 7.10x 2026-11-05 09:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $520 805 CSBATTLE\_COIN 4.03x 2026-11-04 23:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=106) [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $298 462 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.31x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $16.70 25.89 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Hydrarewards.com) $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $16.70 25.89 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $16.70 25.89 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $129 200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.95 18.53 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,361 (26.05x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 109.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $109.34 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt