---
title: "Thunder case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Thunder ($3.23) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.15% over 380 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Thunder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109)

# [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Thunder

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=all)

Price · $3.23 · 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.15% · 380 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 285 openings · below min

30 days · 380 openings · below min

since tracking started · 380 openings · below min

75.5% 92.8% 110.0%

**Small sample.** 380 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=7d) | 285 | 92.73% ±16.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109) | 380 | 92.15% ±14.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/109?window=all) | 380 | 92.15% ±14.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=109)

[StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-off-world-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.66 1.03 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[Sticker | Tornado Chaos (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tornado-chaos-foil) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.57 7.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) [Kakamees @bandit](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Kakamees%20%40bandit) $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.40 2.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-tempest-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $3.41 5.29 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.06x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC

[Sticker | Tornado Chaos (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tornado-chaos-foil) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.57 7.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Tempest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-tempest-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $3.41 5.29 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.06x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) [Mallebrush](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Mallebrush) $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.40 2.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 16:33 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.40 2.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.40 2.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) Hidden $3.23 5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.40 2.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.15 on average: an expected loss of $7.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
