--- title: "Hardened Steel case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hardened Steel ($24.52) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.26% over 196 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168 rendered: 2026-11-12T03:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Hardened Steel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Hardened Steel A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=all) Price · $24.52 · 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.26% · 196 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 118 openings · below min 30 days · 196 openings · below min since tracking started · 196 openings · below min 21.0% 85.8% 150.5% **Small sample.** 196 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=24h) | 4 | 25.08% ±3.63 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=7d) | 118 | 96.19% ±53.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168) | 196 | 95.26% ±40.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/168?window=all) | 196 | 95.26% ±40.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=168) [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.36 8.31 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) [brett](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/brett) $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6.94 10.75 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6.94 10.75 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.36 8.31 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6.94 10.75 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6.94 10.75 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.36 8.31 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.36 8.31 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.36 8.31 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-field-tested) [HAKAO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/HAKAO) $24.52 38 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6.94 10.75 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-10 23:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.26 on average: an expected loss of $4.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt