---
title: "Defuse case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Defuse ($7.51) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.30% over 470 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Defuse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892)

# [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Defuse

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=all)

Price · $7.51 · 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.30% · 470 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 384 openings · below min

30 days · 470 openings · below min

since tracking started · 470 openings · below min

17.5% 74.5% 131.5%

**Small sample.** 470 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=24h) | 69 | 32.47% ±14.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=7d) | 384 | 75.97% ±45.2 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892) | 470 | 85.30% ±45.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1892?window=all) | 470 | 85.30% ±45.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $465 721 CSBATTLE\_COIN 61.93x 2026-11-06 19:03 UTC

[Souvenir M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $465 721 CSBATTLE\_COIN 61.93x 2026-11-03 11:31 UTC

[M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $409 634 CSBATTLE\_COIN 54.45x 2026-11-05 21:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=1892)

[FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.67 1.04 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.67 1.04 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.67 1.04 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [Not Zero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Not%20Zero) $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

[M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $7.51 11.64 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.05 0.08 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $465 (61.93x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.30 on average: an expected loss of $14.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
