--- title: "Lunar case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lunar ($87.74) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.02% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Lunar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Lunar A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=all) Price · $87.74 · 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.02% · 30 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min 10.5% 46.8% 83.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=24h) | 12 | 46.63% ±35.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=7d) | 30 | 59.02% ±23.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914) | 30 | 59.02% ±23.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1914?window=all) | 30 | 59.02% ±23.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=1914) [Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.32 15.99 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.54 2.38 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Tentaskull sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-tentaskull) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $106 165 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.21x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Tentaskull sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-tentaskull) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $106 165 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.21x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.54 2.38 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) [kickpeekcs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/kickpeekcs) $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.54 2.38 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:47 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.54 2.38 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-teardown-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $124 193 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.32 15.99 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) Hidden $87.74 136 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.54 2.38 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.02 on average: an expected loss of $40.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt