--- title: "Circus case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Circus ($300.32) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.50% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Circus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Circus A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=all) Price · $300.32 · 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 61.50% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 52.8% 106.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=7d) | 6 | 51.96% ±53.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924) | 18 | 61.50% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/1924?window=all) | 18 | 61.50% ±36.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $700 1,084 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.33x 2026-11-03 08:32 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) [MUNKHOLM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/MUNKHOLM) $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $573 888 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.91x 2026-11-03 08:32 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $518 803 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.72x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $518 803 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.72x 2026-11-03 18:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=1924) [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $518 803 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.72x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $252 390 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.84x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Clown Nose sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-nose) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.37 2.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Clown Nose sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-nose) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.37 2.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $97.87 152 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) [=D](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/%3DD) $300 466 CSBATTLE\_COIN $65.81 102 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $700 (2.33x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.50 on average: an expected loss of $38.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt