--- title: "Rise Or Fall case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rise Or Fall ($5,806.45) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.71% over 90 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Rise Or Fall](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Rise Or Fall A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=all) Price · $5,806.45 · 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.71% · 90 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 90 openings · below min since tracking started · 90 openings · below min 33.0% 70.0% 107.0% **Small sample.** 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=7d) | 12 | 64.37% ±30.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196) | 90 | 87.71% ±18.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/196?window=all) | 90 | 87.71% ±18.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $37.8K 58,660 CSBATTLE\_COIN 6.52x 2026-11-04 05:28 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $14.9K 23,098 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.57x 2026-11-03 19:02 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $14.9K 23,098 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.57x 2026-11-03 18:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [dbpro313](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/dbpro313) $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.5K 20,886 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.32x 2026-11-04 05:28 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [★Rogerfg104★](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/%E2%98%85Rogerfg104%E2%98%85) $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.1K 17,272 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-03 19:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.1K 17,272 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-03 18:56 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.7K 16,648 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-04 05:28 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [★Rogerfg104★](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/%E2%98%85Rogerfg104%E2%98%85) $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.7K 16,648 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-03 19:04 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.7K 16,648 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-03 19:02 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.7K 16,648 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-03 19:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=196) [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6,505 10,083 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.12x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $8,045 12,470 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.39x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [RAITEKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/RAITEKK) $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9,032 14,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,653 2,562 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $5,806 9,000 CSBATTLE\_COIN $8,045 12,470 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.39x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $37.8K (6.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.71 on average: an expected loss of $12.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt