--- title: "Guitar Hero case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Guitar Hero ($5,290.32) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.18% over 108 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Guitar Hero](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Guitar Hero A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=all) Price · $5,290.32 · 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.18% · 108 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 108 openings · below min since tracking started · 108 openings · below min -0.5% 65.3% 131.0% **Small sample.** 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=7d) | 6 | 57.10% ±73.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387) | 108 | 59.18% ±19.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2387?window=all) | 108 | 59.18% ±19.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $21.2K 32,891 CSBATTLE\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-03 18:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $21.2K 32,891 CSBATTLE\_COIN 4.01x 2026-11-03 05:18 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $20.2K 31,248 CSBATTLE\_COIN 3.81x 2026-11-04 10:13 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.9K 21,483 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.62x 2026-11-03 19:04 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.9K 21,483 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.62x 2026-11-03 18:59 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.9K 21,483 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.62x 2026-11-03 18:59 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.3K 19,001 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.32x 2026-11-04 05:28 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [dbpro313](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/dbpro313) $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.3K 19,001 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.32x 2026-11-04 05:27 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.3K 19,001 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.32x 2026-11-03 20:35 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.3K 19,001 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.32x 2026-11-03 20:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=2387) [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-field-tested) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.32 0.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6,999 10,848 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.32x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.1K 17,246 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.10x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-field-tested) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.32 0.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Recoil Case Key other · Key](https://gambatracker.com/items/recoil-case-key) Hidden $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Recoil Case Key other · Key](https://gambatracker.com/items/recoil-case-key) [RAITEKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/RAITEKK) $5,290 8,200 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $21.2K (4.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.18 on average: an expected loss of $40.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt