---
title: "pug 3% spam case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "pug 3% spam ($5.92) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 48.64% over 150 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743
rendered: 2026-11-13T01:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [pug 3% spam](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743)

# [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · pug 3% spam

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=all)

Price · $5.92 · 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 48.64% · 150 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 42 openings · below min

7 days · 138 openings · below min

30 days · 150 openings · below min

since tracking started · 150 openings · below min

-0.5% 63.8% 128.0%

**Small sample.** 150 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=24h) | 42 | 52.51% ±74.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=7d) | 138 | 52.63% ±57.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743) | 150 | 48.64% ±52.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2743?window=all) | 150 | 48.64% ±52.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=2743)

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-field-tested) [kacper.urbanski1205](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/kacper.urbanski1205) $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $35.12 54.43 CSBATTLE\_COIN 5.94x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

[Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsule container · Autograph Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-contenders-autograph-capsule) Hidden $5.92 9.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 19:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 48.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $48.64 on average: an expected loss of $51.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
