--- title: "Nerd case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Nerd ($52.90) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.95% over 312 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Nerd](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Nerd A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=all) Price · $52.90 · 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.95% · 312 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 288 openings · below min 30 days · 312 openings · below min since tracking started · 312 openings · below min 54.5% 86.5% 118.5% **Small sample.** 312 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=24h) | 66 | 86.50% ±31.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=7d) | 288 | 77.14% ±14.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334) | 312 | 84.95% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/334?window=all) | 312 | 84.95% ±19.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,231 1,908 CSBATTLE\_COIN 23.27x 2026-11-03 08:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=334) [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $24.22 37.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $199 309 CSBATTLE\_COIN 3.77x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.77 8.94 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $24.22 37.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $24.22 37.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) [Gud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Gud) $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $128 199 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.42x 2026-11-11 19:45 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $24.22 37.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $24.22 37.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $128 199 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.42x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) [bandits](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/bandits) $52.90 82 CSBATTLE\_COIN $5.77 8.94 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,231 (23.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.95 on average: an expected loss of $15.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt