--- title: "Guaranteed 10% knife case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Guaranteed 10% knife ($8.68) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 867.56% over 10 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523 rendered: 2026-11-13T08:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Guaranteed 10% knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Guaranteed 10% knife A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=all) Price · $8.68 · 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 867.56% · 10 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 972.0% 1944.5% **Small sample.** 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=7d) | 10 | 867.56% ±1076.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523) | 10 | 867.56% ±1076.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3523?window=all) | 10 | 867.56% ±1076.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $490 760 CSBATTLE\_COIN 56.51x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=3523) [★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $38.77 60.1 CSBATTLE\_COIN 4.47x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-contenders-sticker-capsule) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-contenders-sticker-capsule) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $42.20 65.41 CSBATTLE\_COIN 4.86x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) [El kc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/El%20kc) $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $113 174 CSBATTLE\_COIN 12.97x 2026-11-07 18:14 UTC [Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-contenders-sticker-capsule) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $490 760 CSBATTLE\_COIN 56.51x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC [Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-contenders-sticker-capsule) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC [Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-contenders-sticker-capsule) Hidden $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) [El kc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/El%20kc) $8.68 13.45 CSBATTLE\_COIN $68.17 106 CSBATTLE\_COIN 7.86x 2026-11-07 18:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $490 (56.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 867.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $867.56 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt