--- title: "Spud's 1% Dream case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spud's 1% Dream ($5.16) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 156.17% over 411 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Spud's 1% Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Spud's 1% Dream A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=all) Price · $5.16 · 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 156.17% · 411 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 405 openings · below min 30 days · 411 openings · below min since tracking started · 411 openings · below min -0.5% 167.5% 335.5% **Small sample.** 411 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=7d) | 405 | 158.44% ±176.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205) | 411 | 156.17% ±173.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4205?window=all) | 411 | 156.17% ±173.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,271 1,970 CSBATTLE\_COIN 246.2x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,271 1,970 CSBATTLE\_COIN 246.2x 2026-11-09 21:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Kutt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Kutt) $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $553 857 CSBATTLE\_COIN 107.1x 2026-11-06 01:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=4205) [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) [Kutt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Kutt) $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) [Kutt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Kutt) $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:57 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) Hidden $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Pocket BBQ graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-pocket-bbq) [Kutt](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Kutt) $5.16 8 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,271 (246.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 156.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $156.17 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt