--- title: "Toxic Smog case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Toxic Smog ($1.29) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.91% over 2,733 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Toxic Smog](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Toxic Smog A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=all) Price · $1.29 · 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.91% · 2,733 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 275 openings · below min 7 days · 86.53% ±15.09 2,164 openings 30 days · 90.91% ±14.67 2,733 openings since tracking started · 90.91% ±14.67 2,733 openings 57.5% 85.0% 112.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=24h) | 275 | 84.96% ±27.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=7d) | 2,164 | 86.53% ±15.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462) | 2,733 | 90.91% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4462?window=all) | 2,733 | 90.91% ±14.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $187 290 CSBATTLE\_COIN 145.2x 2026-11-09 23:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $124 193 CSBATTLE\_COIN 96.48x 2026-11-03 22:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=4462) [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1.21 1.87 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.94x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.26 0.4 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.54 0.83 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.26 0.4 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.54 0.83 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [Sticker | Toxic sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toxic) [dem0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/dem0n) $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.15 0.23 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [Sticker | Toxic sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toxic) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.15 0.23 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.54 0.83 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.26 0.4 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [Sticker | Toxic sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toxic) Hidden $1.29 2 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.15 0.23 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $187 (145.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt