--- title: "SWORD TOP case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SWORD TOP ($188.43) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 6.51% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [SWORD TOP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · SWORD TOP A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=all) Price · $188.43 · 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 6.51% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=7d) | 8 | 6.51% ±0.20 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469) | 8 | 6.51% ±0.20 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4469?window=all) | 8 | 6.51% ±0.20 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=4469) [Sticker | captainMo | Boston 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-boston-2018) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.76 19.78 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC [Sticker | captainMo | Boston 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-boston-2018) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.76 19.78 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC [Sticker | captainMo | Boston 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-boston-2018) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.76 19.78 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC [P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-factory-new) [Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Grizzly) $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.61 18 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-04 20:11 UTC [P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-factory-new) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.61 18 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-well-worn) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.52 19.41 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-well-worn) Hidden $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $12.52 19.41 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC [P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-factory-new) [Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Grizzly) $188 292 CSBATTLE\_COIN $11.61 18 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-04 20:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 6.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $6.51 on average: an expected loss of $93.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt