--- title: "Black Orchid case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Black Orchid ($67.74) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.87% over 504 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Black Orchid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Black Orchid A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=all) Price · $67.74 · 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.87% · 504 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 286 openings · below min 30 days · 504 openings · below min since tracking started · 504 openings · below min 13.5% 54.0% 94.5% **Small sample.** 504 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=24h) | 22 | 14.35% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=7d) | 286 | 52.35% ±28.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524) | 504 | 69.87% ±23.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4524?window=all) | 504 | 69.87% ±23.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [HAKAO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/HAKAO) $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,894 2,936 CSBATTLE\_COIN 27.96x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,500 2,325 CSBATTLE\_COIN 22.14x 2026-11-08 03:34 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,239 1,920 CSBATTLE\_COIN 18.29x 2026-11-05 18:50 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,239 1,920 CSBATTLE\_COIN 18.29x 2026-11-03 17:31 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,129 1,750 CSBATTLE\_COIN 16.67x 2026-11-05 09:20 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,129 1,750 CSBATTLE\_COIN 16.67x 2026-11-04 23:41 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $954 1,478 CSBATTLE\_COIN 14.08x 2026-11-06 12:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $954 1,478 CSBATTLE\_COIN 14.08x 2026-11-04 14:47 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [VivoBanks](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/VivoBanks) $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $954 1,478 CSBATTLE\_COIN 14.08x 2026-11-03 11:57 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $675 1,046 CSBATTLE\_COIN 9.96x 2026-11-03 19:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=4524) [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) [Gud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Gud) $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 22:09 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 20:08 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 20:08 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 20:08 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $67.74 105 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9.72 15.07 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-12 20:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,894 (27.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.87 on average: an expected loss of $30.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt