--- title: "Secret Reserve case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Secret Reserve ($390.32) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.70% over 40 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Secret Reserve](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Secret Reserve A case on CSBattle, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=all) Price · $390.32 · 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 111.70% · 40 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min 74.0% 111.8% 149.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=24h) | 40 | 111.70% ±37.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=7d) | 40 | 111.70% ±37.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572) | 40 | 111.70% ±37.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/4572?window=all) | 40 | 111.70% ±37.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $2,187 3,390 CSBATTLE\_COIN 5.60x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [MP9 | Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,257 1,949 CSBATTLE\_COIN 3.22x 2026-11-11 21:25 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) [THE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/THE%20BIG%20O%20%40bandit%20Rustyloot) $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,042 1,615 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.67x 2026-11-11 21:25 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,032 1,600 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,032 1,600 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,032 1,600 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [THE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/THE%20BIG%20O%20%40bandit%20Rustyloot) $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $868 1,345 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.22x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $733 1,136 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $733 1,136 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.88x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [THE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/THE%20BIG%20O%20%40bandit%20Rustyloot) $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $671 1,041 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.72x 2026-11-11 21:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=4572) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $93.83 145 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Pistols](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $119 185 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $2,187 3,390 CSBATTLE\_COIN 5.60x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [THE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/THE%20BIG%20O%20%40bandit%20Rustyloot) $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $593 920 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.52x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,032 1,600 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Pistols](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $119 185 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $1,032 1,600 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) [THE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/THE%20BIG%20O%20%40bandit%20Rustyloot) $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $32.37 50.17 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $93.83 145 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $390 605 CSBATTLE\_COIN $593 920 CSBATTLE\_COIN 1.52x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,187 (5.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.70 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt