--- title: "5% Loco case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% Loco ($529.03) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 61.77% over 297 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [5% Loco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · 5% Loco A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=all) Price · $529.03 · 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 61.77% · 297 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 203 openings · below min 30 days · 297 openings · below min since tracking started · 297 openings · below min -0.5% 313.5% 627.5% **Small sample.** 297 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=24h) | 12 | 211.79% ±414.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=7d) | 203 | 67.11% ±47.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659) | 297 | 61.77% ±36.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/659?window=all) | 297 | 61.77% ±36.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [SharkyGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/SharkyGambles) $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.4K 20,828 CSBATTLE\_COIN 25.40x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $10.9K 16,857 CSBATTLE\_COIN 20.56x 2026-11-08 17:42 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9,931 15,393 CSBATTLE\_COIN 18.77x 2026-11-08 17:41 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9,707 15,046 CSBATTLE\_COIN 18.35x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $9,707 15,046 CSBATTLE\_COIN 18.35x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $8,539 13,235 CSBATTLE\_COIN 16.14x 2026-11-04 04:15 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $7,101 11,006 CSBATTLE\_COIN 13.42x 2026-11-08 17:42 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $7,101 11,006 CSBATTLE\_COIN 13.42x 2026-11-08 17:42 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $7,101 11,006 CSBATTLE\_COIN 13.42x 2026-11-04 23:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $6,674 10,344 CSBATTLE\_COIN 12.61x 2026-11-08 17:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=659) [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) [SharkyGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/SharkyGambles) $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [Sticker | Baited (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited-holo) Hidden $529 820 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.12 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $13.4K (25.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 61.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $61.77 on average: an expected loss of $38.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt