--- title: "Steel Heist case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Steel Heist ($1.65) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.98% over 1,213 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [Steel Heist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · Steel Heist A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=all) Price · $1.65 · 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.98% · 1,213 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 128 openings · below min 7 days · 972 openings · below min 30 days · 92.98% ±27.09 1,213 openings since tracking started · 92.98% ±27.09 1,213 openings 30.5% 75.8% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=24h) | 128 | 47.03% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=7d) | 972 | 90.64% ±29.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79) | 1,213 | 92.98% ±27.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/79?window=all) | 1,213 | 92.98% ±27.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $159 246 CSBATTLE\_COIN 96.61x 2026-11-06 06:14 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [cherkix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/cherkix) $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $125 193 CSBATTLE\_COIN 75.84x 2026-11-09 20:36 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $125 193 CSBATTLE\_COIN 75.84x 2026-11-06 06:14 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [cherkix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/cherkix) $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $125 193 CSBATTLE\_COIN 75.84x 2026-11-03 16:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=79) [P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.11 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-field-tested) [dem0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/dem0n) $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.11 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.06 0.09 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $1.65 2.55 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.72 1.11 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $159 (96.61x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.98 on average: an expected loss of $7.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt