--- title: "1% RAIN to KNIFE case on CSBattle: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% RAIN to KNIFE ($1.64) on CSBattle, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.46% over 797 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) / [1% RAIN to KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915) # [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) · 1% RAIN to KNIFE A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=all) Price · $1.64 · 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.46% · 797 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 737 openings · below min 30 days · 797 openings · below min since tracking started · 797 openings · below min 31.0% 90.8% 150.5% **Small sample.** 797 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=7d) | 737 | 91.62% ±58.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915) | 797 | 85.46% ±53.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/915?window=all) | 797 | 85.46% ±53.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $162 252 CSBATTLE\_COIN 99.12x 2026-11-07 02:27 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $162 252 CSBATTLE\_COIN 99.12x 2026-11-07 02:18 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $162 252 CSBATTLE\_COIN 99.12x 2026-11-07 02:18 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-minimal-wear) [slanky3630](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/slanky3630) $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $162 252 CSBATTLE\_COIN 99.12x 2026-11-06 13:14 UTC [★ Paracord Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife) [TUPAPA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/TUPAPA) $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $94.25 146 CSBATTLE\_COIN 57.52x 2026-11-07 02:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csbattle&case=915) [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:55 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:55 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:55 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [slanky3630](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/slanky3630) $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:55 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [slanky3630](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/slanky3630) $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:46 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.64 2.54 CSBATTLE\_COIN $0.16 0.25 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 02:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $162 (99.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.46 on average: an expected loss of $14.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt