---
title: "3D скины case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "3D скины ($0.93) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 79.08% from 30 items with odds, observed 78.57% over 6,028 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [3D скины](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · 3D скины

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=all)

Price · $0.93

Advertised RTP · 79.08% · EV $0.74 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.57% · 6,028 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82 openings · below min

7 days · 78.02% ±3.22 2,504 openings

30 days · 78.57% ±2.08 6,028 openings

since tracking started · 78.57% ±2.08 6,028 openings

49.5% 68.8% 88.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=24h) | 82 | 68.74% ±18.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=7d) | 2,504 | 78.02% ±3.22 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins) | 6,028 | 78.57% ±2.08 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/3dskins?window=all) | 6,028 | 78.57% ±2.08 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,049 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 9,607 | $30.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 9,582 | $30.24 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,519 | $19.06 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 8,443 | $18.69 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Falak (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-falak-well-worn) | 1 in 7,411 | $15.10 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 6,081 | $12.30 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 3,359 | $8.44 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 2,346 | $7.13 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 1,547 | $5.99 | 0.5% | 16 | 3.9 | 4.09× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 1,168 | $5.36 | 0.6% | 10 | 5.2 | 1.93× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,074 | $5.19 | 0.7% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 1,039 | $5.13 | 0.7% | 14 | 5.8 | 2.40× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 340 | $3.39 | 1.4% | 18 | 17.8 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $2.45 | 2.4% | 84 | 43.0 | 1.95× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $2.35 | 2.5% | 77 | 47.5 | 1.62× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $2.02 | 3.2% | 2 | 70.4 | 0.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $1.96 | 3.4% | 80 | 76.0 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $1.80 | 3.8% | 115 | 93.3 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $1.19 | 6.2% | 161 | 233.1 | 0.69× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.19 | 6.2% | 269 | 232.9 | 1.16× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $1.09 | 6.7% | 341 | 275.5 | 1.24× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.87 | 7.8% | 564 | 396.8 | 1.42× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.87 | 7.7% | 20 | 392.2 | 0.05× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.78 | 8.0% | 485 | 454.1 | 1.07× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.70 | 8.0% | 600 | 508.8 | 1.18× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 10.5% | $0.48 | 6.9% | 628 | 633.2 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) | 10.6% | $0.38 | 5.4% | 406 | 641.1 | 0.63× |
| [Charm \| Hang Loose charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hang-loose) | 10.6% | $0.38 | 5.4% | 650 | 641.2 | 1.01× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) | 10.5% | $0.36 | 5.1% | 559 | 635.8 | 0.88× |
| [M249 \| Downtown (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-field-tested) | 10.4% | $0.34 | 4.7% | 356 | 626.9 | 0.57× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=3dskins)

[M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.93 $0.34 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[P250 | Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.93 $0.78 0.84x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.93 $0.35 0.38x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.93 $0.34 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [sugargang](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/sugargang) $0.93 $0.36 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:53 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) [sugargang](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/sugargang) $0.93 $0.37 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [Kalleser](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kalleser) $0.93 $1.96 2.11x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

[P250 | Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) [Papaya Sorbet](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Papaya%20Sorbet) $0.93 $0.78 0.84x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC

[M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-field-tested) [Papaya Sorbet](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Papaya%20Sorbet) $0.93 $0.34 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC

[P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) [Papaya Sorbet](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Papaya%20Sorbet) $0.93 $0.37 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.93 | 79.08% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.93 | 78.83% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.93 | 78.70% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.93 | 78.71% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.93 | 79.04% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.93 | 79.41% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.40% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.32% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.39% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.48% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.93 | 79.94% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.93 | 79.95% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.93 | 79.87% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.93% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.91% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.99% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.86% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.84% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.01% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.02% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.00% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.98% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.93 | 79.96% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.93 | 80.35% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 78.45% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.45% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.17% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.14% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.15% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 78.12% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% covert 0.0% rare 0.0% pink 0.4% #d32ee6 0.0% #8847ff 15.2% uncommon 0.1% Legendary 0.1% classified 0.1% violet 29.2% restricted 23.9% Rare 1.3% Mythical 23.3% #4b69ff 6.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.08 on average: an expected loss of $20.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt