---
title: "ALL-IN AK-47 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ALL-IN AK-47 ($2.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 63.10% from 2 items with odds, observed 132.35% over 1,411 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [ALL-IN AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · ALL-IN AK-47

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=all)

Price · $2.49

Advertised RTP · 63.10% · EV $1.57 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 132.35% · 1,411 openings, odds method

Variance · 43.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 211 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 216 openings · below min

7 days · 124.96% ±36.70 1,141 openings

30 days · 132.35% ±32.57 1,411 openings

since tracking started · 132.35% ±32.57 1,411 openings

-0.5% 82.5% 165.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 63.63% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (99.79% – 164.92%, 1,411 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=24h) | 216 | 62.00% ±82.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=7d) | 1,141 | 124.96% ±36.7 | +3.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47) | 1,411 | 132.35% ±32.6 | +4.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinak47?window=all) | 1,411 | 132.35% ±32.6 | +4.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,411 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $240 | 72.2% | 11 | 6.7 | 1.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 99.5% | $0.44 | 27.8% | 1,385 | 1404.3 | 0.99× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Monkey D. Luffy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Monkey%20D.%20Luffy) $2.49 $245 98.20x 2026-11-06 01:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [kir623](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kir623) $2.49 $243 97.65x 2026-11-07 19:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Nikishos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nikishos) $2.49 $243 97.54x 2026-11-06 22:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Синий Птах](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%85) $2.49 $242 97.27x 2026-11-05 19:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Architect](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Architect) $2.49 $242 97.27x 2026-11-05 19:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [ZlobinLIVE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ZlobinLIVE) $2.49 $241 96.77x 2026-11-05 18:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $240 96.27x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [gladiolus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gladiolus) $2.49 $237 95.29x 2026-11-05 11:06 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [gladiolus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gladiolus) $2.49 $237 95.29x 2026-11-05 11:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [gladiolus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gladiolus) $2.49 $237 95.29x 2026-11-05 11:05 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=allinak47)

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [как же меня зaeбал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BA%20%D0%B6%D0%B5%20%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B7ae%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [ktuha❤️‍🔥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ktuha%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F%E2%80%8D%F0%9F%94%A5) $2.49 $0.44 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.49 | 63.10% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.49 | 62.94% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.49 | 62.78% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.49 | 62.76% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.49 | 63.03% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.49 | 63.30% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.49 | 63.29% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.49 | 63.28% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.49 | 63.32% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.49 | 63.39% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.49 | 63.75% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.49 | 63.74% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.49 | 63.69% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.49 | 63.76% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.49 | 63.72% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.49 | 63.72% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.76% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.71% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.71% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.72% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.72% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.49 | 63.68% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.49 | 63.79% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.49 | 64.06% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.49 | 64.09% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.49 | 64.00% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.49 | 63.74% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.49 | 63.81% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.49 | 63.83% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.49 | 63.82% | 2 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.5% #4b69ff 99.5% best hit $245 (98.20x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.10 on average: an expected loss of $36.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt