---
title: "ALL-IN AWP case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ALL-IN AWP ($2.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.91% from 2 items with odds, observed 245.62% over 33.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [ALL-IN AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · ALL-IN AWP

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 64.91% · EV $1.75 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 245.62% · 33.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 38.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 143 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 213.42% ±41.49 873 openings

7 days · 241.33% ±7.72 26.3K openings

30 days · 245.62% ±6.90 33.2K openings

since tracking started · 245.62% ±6.90 33.2K openings

64.0% 159.8% 255.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 65.67% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (238.71% – 252.52%, 33,247 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=24h) | 873 | 213.42% ±41.5 | +7.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=7d) | 26.3K | 241.33% ±7.72 | +44.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp) | 33.2K | 245.62% ±6.90 | +51.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/allinawp?window=all) | 33.2K | 245.62% ±6.90 | +51.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $200 | 80.4% | 934 | 233.2 | 4.00× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 99.3% | $0.34 | 19.6% | 25,095 | 33013.8 | 0.76× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 01:01 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:49 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:38 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:36 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:34 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:30 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:29 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:26 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:22 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $222 82.56x 2026-11-04 00:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=allinawp)

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Mirkelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mirkelo) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [☑️☑️☑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%98%91%EF%B8%8F%E2%98%91%EF%B8%8F%E2%98%91) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:41 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $2.69 $0.39 0.15x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.69 | 64.91% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 64.75% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 64.60% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 64.60% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 64.86% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 65.13% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 65.14% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 65.11% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 65.19% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 65.24% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 65.59% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 65.59% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 65.58% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 65.59% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 65.59% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 65.60% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.60% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.56% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.58% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.60% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.57% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 65.54% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 65.65% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 65.93% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 65.95% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 65.87% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 65.58% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 65.69% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 65.65% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 65.67% | 2 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.7% blue 99.3% best hit $222 (82.56x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.91 on average: an expected loss of $35.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt