--- title: "Asiimov mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Asiimov mining ($0.15) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.33% from 5 items with odds, observed 8901.52% over 1,716 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov rendered: 2026-11-11T19:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Asiimov mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Asiimov mining A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=all) Price · $0.15 Advertised RTP · 64.33% · EV $0.10 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 8901.52% · 1,716 openings, odds method Variance · 74.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 134 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 213 openings · below min 7 days · 9036.31% ±47.76 1,359 openings 30 days · 8901.52% ±42.47 1,716 openings since tracking started · 8901.52% ±42.47 1,716 openings 63.5% 4974.3% 9885.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 65.02% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (8859.05% – 8943.98%, 1,716 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=24h) | 213 | 9763.29% ±120.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=7d) | 1,359 | 9036.31% ±47.8 | +368.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov) | 1,716 | 8901.52% ±42.5 | +407.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimov?window=all) | 1,716 | 8901.52% ±42.5 | +407.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,721 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 16,408 | $94.01 | 5.9% | 12 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 5,121 | $39.70 | 8.0% | 68 | 0.3 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $10.80 | 80.9% | 1,607 | 12.4 | 129.20× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Honey Paisley (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-honey-paisley-field-tested) | 49.6% | \<$0.01 | 2.6% | 0 | 854.1 | 0.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Autumn Thicket (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-autumn-thicket-minimal-wear) | 49.6% | \<$0.01 | 2.6% | 0 | 854.1 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [erase](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/erase) $0.15 $101 675.9x 2026-11-06 11:50 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $0.15 $101 675.7x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.15 $99.11 660.7x 2026-11-07 03:02 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [KOLOO X(](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/KOLOO%20X%28) $0.15 $97.31 648.7x 2026-11-05 20:48 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.15 $95.04 633.6x 2026-11-06 05:50 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [ITACHI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ITACHI) $0.15 $94.50 630.0x 2026-11-07 14:49 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.15 $94.50 630.0x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.15 $94.50 630.0x 2026-11-07 10:00 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [saleshkoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/saleshkoo) $0.15 $94.30 628.7x 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.15 $94.06 627.1x 2026-11-11 02:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=asiimov) [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [01 NÃO É 02](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/01%20N%C3%83O%20%C3%89%2002) $0.15 $11.54 76.93x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [Oldman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Oldman) $0.15 $11.54 76.93x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [yanobezyan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/yanobezyan) $0.15 $10.80 72.00x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [Eco](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Eco) $0.15 $10.80 72.00x 2026-11-11 16:44 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.15 $10.80 72.00x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.15 $10.80 72.00x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [ХоРоВоДоВеДоВоД](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%B5%D0%94%D0%BE%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%94) $0.15 $10.80 72.00x 2026-11-11 16:38 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [???Inc🖤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%3F%3F%3FInc%F0%9F%96%A4) $0.15 $10.79 71.93x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [Просто игрок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%20%D0%B8%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $0.15 $10.79 71.93x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [I want pizza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/I%20want%20pizza) $0.15 $10.79 71.93x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.15 | 64.33% | 5 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.15 | 64.30% | 5 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.15 | 64.17% | 5 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.15 | 64.26% | 5 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.15 | 64.29% | 5 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.15 | 64.64% | 5 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.15 | 64.64% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.15 | 64.62% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.15 | 64.68% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.15 | 64.76% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.15 | 65.08% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.15 | 65.06% | 5 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.15 | 65.05% | 5 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.15 | 65.07% | 5 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.15 | 65.09% | 5 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.15 | 65.08% | 5 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.08% | 5 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.04% | 5 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.08% | 5 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.07% | 5 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.07% | 5 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.15 | 65.05% | 5 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.15 | 65.14% | 5 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.15 | 65.44% | 5 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.15 | 65.49% | 5 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.15 | 65.39% | 5 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.15 | 65.12% | 5 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.15 | 65.22% | 5 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.15 | 65.17% | 5 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.15 | 65.20% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 0.7% #b0c3d9 49.6% consumer 49.6% best hit $101 (675.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.33 on average: an expected loss of $35.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt