---
title: "Elite asiimov mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Elite asiimov mining ($0.80) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.28% from 9 items with odds, observed 163.72% over 10.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Elite asiimov mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Elite asiimov mining

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=all)

Price · $0.80

Advertised RTP · 67.28% · EV $0.54 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 163.72% · 10.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 17.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 146.62% ±25.47 1,135 openings

7 days · 164.69% ±9.57 8,487 openings

30 days · 163.72% ±8.55 10.6K openings

since tracking started · 163.72% ±8.55 10.6K openings

66.5% 120.8% 175.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.92% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (155.18% – 172.27%, 10,566 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=24h) | 1,135 | 146.62% ±25.5 | +6.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=7d) | 8,487 | 164.69% ±9.57 | +19.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2) | 10.6K | 163.72% ±8.55 | +22.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/asiimovmining2?window=all) | 10.6K | 163.72% ±8.55 | +22.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,037 | $165 | 3.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 7,189 | $107 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 6,327 | $94.01 | 2.8% | 9 | 1.7 | 5.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,152 | $39.70 | 6.4% | 42 | 9.2 | 4.57× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $10.80 | 72.6% | 820 | 383.2 | 2.14× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 35.4% | $0.09 | 5.9% | 1,969 | 3743.7 | 0.53× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 24.7% | $0.06 | 2.9% | 1,869 | 2620.5 | 0.71× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 22.1% | $0.06 | 2.3% | 34 | 2342.1 | 0.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.04 | 0.9% | 0 | 1486.0 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [Gugugagich](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Gugugagich) $0.80 $167 209.0x 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $0.80 $167 208.3x 2026-11-04 22:27 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [404 (Not Found)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/404%20%28Not%20Found%29) $0.80 $167 208.3x 2026-11-04 15:31 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $0.80 $166 207.7x 2026-11-08 22:11 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) [lampi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/lampi) $0.80 $165 206.8x 2026-11-10 12:33 UTC

[M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) [Edward](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Edward) $0.80 $158 197.1x 2026-11-06 16:35 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [GLADIATOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GLADIATOR) $0.80 $99.08 123.9x 2026-11-06 12:06 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [rukm4NN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rukm4NN) $0.80 $96.91 121.1x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [ИВАН БУДКО](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%98%D0%92%D0%90%D0%9D%20%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%94%D0%9A%D0%9E) $0.80 $96.41 120.5x 2026-11-09 10:07 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [Vice](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Vice) $0.80 $95.90 119.9x 2026-11-09 18:38 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=asiimovmining2)

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.09 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $10.80 13.50x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.06 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.06 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.09 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.09 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.06 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.09 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.06 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) [stervonskiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stervonskiy) $0.80 $0.06 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.80 | 67.28% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.80 | 67.15% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.80 | 66.97% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.80 | 66.98% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.80 | 67.20% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.80 | 67.56% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.80 | 67.56% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.80 | 67.52% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.80 | 67.54% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.80 | 67.64% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.80 | 68.03% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.80 | 67.96% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.80 | 67.96% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.80 | 67.95% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.80 | 67.99% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.80 | 68.01% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.80 | 68.04% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.80 | 67.99% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.80 | 68.01% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.80 | 67.98% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.80 | 68.02% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.80 | 68.00% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.80 | 68.09% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.80 | 68.36% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.80 | 68.34% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.80 | 68.30% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.80 | 68.01% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.80 | 68.09% | 9 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.80 | 68.07% | 9 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.80 | 68.08% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 3.6% #4b69ff 35.4% blue 24.7% milspec 22.1% industrial 14.0% best hit $167 (209.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.28 on average: an expected loss of $32.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt